Theme Thema

Investors Investeerders

Capital flows, investment theses, and market opportunities in AI. Kapitaalstromen, investeringstheses en marktkansen in AI.

6 articles 6 artikelen

Synthesis — State of the field Synthese — Stand van het veld
The bubble thesis and the GPT thesis are both internally coherent — and the scaling law uncertainty means neither can currently be falsified. That is itself the most important fact for investors. The bubble thesis and the GPT thesis are both internally coherent — and the scaling law uncertainty means neither can currently be falsified. That is itself the most important fact for investors.
All articles Alle artikelen
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Europe's AI Billions Are Building Someone Else's Future Europas AI-miljarden Bouwen Andermans Toekomst

Europe leads in AI adoption but exports its best companies to US capital at scale. Europa loopt voorop in AI-adoptie, maar exporteert zijn beste bedrijven systematisch naar Amerikaans kapitaal.

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The AI Compute Curve Is Bending Toward Value De AI-computercurve Buigt Richting Waarde

Inference costs are collapsing as model performance peaks, fundamentally reshaping where AI investment value accrues. Inferentiekosten dalen terwijl modelprestaties stijgen, wat hertekent waar de waarde van AI-investeringen terechtkomt.

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The AI Investment Bubble Nobody Wants to Name De AI-investeringsbubbel Die Niemand Wil Benoemen

AI infrastructure spending is vastly outpacing returns, signalling a capital misallocation crisis hiding in plain sight. AI-infrastructuuruitgaven overtreffen de opbrengsten ruimschoots — een kapitaalverspilling die zich zichtbaar voltrekt.

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AI Investment Thesis Capex and Returns AI Investment Thesis Capex and Returns

Bull thesis: AI infrastructure capex will drive transformative value; bear thesis: LLM economics are structurally poor and capital will be misallocated. Bull thesis: AI infrastructure capex will drive transformative value; bear thesis: LLM economics are structurally poor and capital will be misallocated.

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LLM Commoditization LLM Commoditization

LLM performance convergence and commodity compute availability are eroding pricing power for all but lowest-cost or most differentiated providers. LLM performance convergence and commodity compute availability are eroding pricing power for all but lowest-cost or most differentiated providers.

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Scaling Law Uncertainty Scaling Law Uncertainty

Scaling laws driving AI progress are weakening, threatening compute-dependent investment theses and reshaping competitive advantage. Scaling laws driving AI progress are weakening, threatening compute-dependent investment theses and reshaping competitive advantage.